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UP Election: Akhilesh, Mayawati’s silence at the double-edged sword of Jat-Muslim harmony and 66/76 problem for BJP

The early life brigade of Akhilesh Yadav and Jayant Chaudhary has made a strategic try to suppress Hindutva within the noise of the Uttar Pradesh meeting elections. Two objectives are being completed through expelling different backward magnificence leaders together with Swami Prasad Maurya, Dharam Singh Saini from the saffron camp. Some a part of non-Yadav OBC will have to pass to Samajwadi Birthday party-Rashtriya Lok Dal (SP-RLD Alliance). 2nd, within the identify of social justice, the rainbow Hindu vote financial institution of the BJP will have to be damaged through elevating the noise of reservation and participation.

Because of this rainbow alliance, the BJP were given 312 seats out of 403 within the 2017 meeting elections. Specifically in western Uttar Pradesh, 66 out of 76 seats went to the saffron camp the place the Muslim vote share is greater than 20 in 14 districts. In Muzaffarnagar, Saharanpur, Aligarh, Sambhal, Bijnor, Moradabad and Bareilly, they vote greater than the magic determine of 30 in keeping with cent that bureaucracy the federal government in UP. Historical past is witness. The one that were given greater than 30 % votes within the state has shaped the federal government.
Candidate listing of UP chunav: Checklist of applicants within the UP meeting elections, know from the place BJP, SP, BSP and Congress gave tickets

Akhilesh Yadav is pursuing this purpose. Mayawati was once nowhere to be noticed within the box. And for the primary time after the temple motion, the Muslim vote is noticed going outright within the account of SP. How temporarily Asaduddin Owaisi’s shine has pale, it’s in entrance of you. Akhilesh feels that if 19 % of Muslims and 11-12 % of Yadavs vote unitedly, because of leaders like Swami Prasad-Saini, non-Yadav OBCs get some percentage and Jayant Choudhary will get the votes of Jats, then magical figures can be bought. will also be completed. Now have a look at the way in which BJP has disbursed tickets for 58 seats within the first segment and 55 seats in the second one segment.

Resolution given through price tag distribution

Greater than 60 % of the tickets for 107 seats had been given to backward and Dalits. The BJP had gained 53 seats out of 58 within the first segment. Except for the Hindutva time table in keeping with the Muzaffarnagar riots and the alleged exodus from Kairana, caste equations performed crucial position. The celebration has attempted to retain him this time as neatly. This time BJP has fielded 17 Jats, 7 Gurjars and 19 Dalits. In 2017 additionally 16 Jats, 7 Gujjars and 18 Dalits had been nominated through the celebration. Jats and Gujjars make up 16 to 17% of the inhabitants in 10-12 districts of western UP. Jayant Chaudhary has were given a brief resolution proper right here.
BJP candidate listing: 60 % Dalits and backward in BJP’s first listing, Dalit applicants fielded on the whole seats additionally… know what message BJP gave

Within the final election, the BJP were given about 40 % of the votes, which greater to 49 % within the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Now any person asks how a lot will the BJP’s vote fall from 49 %? So this can be referred to as overconfidence at the election board. In 2017 the lads of Upay had been in combination. In 2019, a grand alliance was once shaped. Now have a look. Bahujan Samaj Birthday party of Mayawati ie Mayawati were given 19.43 % votes. Babua Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Birthday party were given 18.11 % votes. However 62 seats out of 80 went to BJP because it were given 49 % votes. The trick is right here. If the votes of BSP and SP are blended, it was once additionally round 38 % however votes weren’t transferred to one another. Because of this why the coalition experiment of 2017 and 2019 has been completed away with in 2022. In the event you shape an alliance, the polarization in opposition will accentuate.

If there was once this type of factor as Jat-Muslim harmony in western Uttar Pradesh, it was once demolished through the BJP within the final elections. It’s tricky to mention how a lot injury has been brought about through the farmers’ motion and whether or not Rakesh Tikait or Jayant Chaudhary will have the ability to repair the previous harmony for Akhilesh. Right here Akhilesh is on a double-edged sword. If the BJP succeeds in giving the message that the Muslims of the world are going with the SP totally, then the collected historical past of polarization can be repeated and the hopes of the present opposition could also be totally shattered. The second one side is the guarantees made through the BJP whilst following the time table of Hindutva. A grand Ram temple is being inbuilt Ayodhya. Kashi Vishwanath Hall is in entrance of everybody. There’s a custom in our villages to provide blessings when you have fulfilled your promise. Subsequently BJP using on Hindutva chariot with construction time table gets blessing votes on this election. Once in a while the truth of the bottom turns into secondary within the noise of the defection of huge faces.

Who’s the candidate of which celebration in all 403 seats?

Muslim vote share within the first two stages of elections
Muzaffarnagar Muslim Inhabitants – 41%
Meerut ( Meerut Muslim Inhabitants) – 35%
Shamli Muslim Inhabitants – 28%
Ghaziabad ( Ghaziabad Muslim Inhabitants) – 25%
Saharanpur ( Saharanpur Muslim Inhabitants) -42%
Baghpat Muslim Inhabitants – 28%
Aligarh (Aligarh Muslim Inhabitants) – 42 %
Mathura (Mathura Muslim Inhabitants) -9%
Agra (Agra Muslim Inhabitants)-15%
Bulandshahr (Bulanshahr Muslim Inhabitants)-22%
Gautam Buddha Nagar Muslim Inhabitants -9%
Hapur ( Hapur Muslim Inhabitants) – 32%
Bijnor ( Bijnaur Muslim Inhabitants) – 43%
Moradabad ( Moradabad Muslim Inhabitants) – 47%
Sambhal (Sambhal Muslim Inhabitants) -75%
Amroha (Amroha Muslim Inhabitants) -73%
Badaun Muslim Inhabitants -21%
Bareilly Muslim Inhabitants – 35%

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