U.S.-China chip conflict may harm South Korea’s tech giants — however no longer for lengthy, Fitch says

Samsung Electronics Co. 8GB Double-Information-Charge (DDR) 4 reminiscence modules.

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs

The U.S.-China chip conflict may have an effect on South Korea’s chip giants as China accounts for a big chew in their manufacturing capability — however there should not be long-term disruptions, in line with Fitch Rankings.

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix face dangers because the U.S. seeks to dam China’s get right of entry to to complex semiconductor chip apparatus, in line with the June 7 document.

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China accounts for 40% of Samsung’s overall flash reminiscence chips (NAND) manufacturing capacity, mentioned the analysts led via Matt Jamieson. It additionally accounts for 40%-50% of SK Hynix’s dynamic random get right of entry to reminiscence (DRAM) chips and 20% of its NAND capability.

“We don’t suppose there can be a significant long-term delivery disruption, as it’s most likely that Korea will transform the primary location for the 2 corporations’ expansionary funding and era upgrades,” the credit score rankings company mentioned within the June 7 document.

The U.S. in October offered sweeping laws to bring to a halt China’s get right of entry to to acquire or manufacture high-tech semiconductor chips. They got here as considerations grew over China’s skill to make use of such high-tech chips to advance its army functions. The Netherlands and Japan are reportedly poised to practice go well with.

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are the 2 biggest producers of reminiscence chips globally, adopted via U.S.-based Micron in 3rd position. Reminiscence chips are garage gadgets used in computer systems, smartphones and pills.

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The corporations’ fabrication vegetation in China make complex chips in addition to older chips, that are exempted from the U.S. restrictions. The reminiscence chips are produced for Chinese language intake in addition to exports.

On the other hand, the 2 chip giants acquired one-year waivers from the U.S. to proceed uploading complex equipment for his or her China vegetation till October, in line with the Korea Instances.

“Will have to the U.S. no longer lengthen the waiver, we think the corporations to proceed generating reminiscence chips at their Chinese language vegetation the usage of already put in era,” mentioned Fitch Rankings.

Get pleasure from Micron ban

In what’s observed as a retaliatory transfer, China banned the sale of goods from Micron to be used in crucial knowledge infrastructure in Would possibly.

Fitch Rankings mentioned Samsung and SK Hynix “might get pleasure from upper chip costs inside of China consequently. On the other hand, the have an effect on could be small and might be offset if Micron redirects the sale of its reminiscence chips outdoor of China, as this could more than likely decrease world chip costs.”

The White Area reportedly suggested South Korea no longer let its chipmakers fill Micron’s void in China. Round 10% of Micron’s income come from China, in line with Micron’s fiscal 2022 document.

The Fitch document mentioned the 2 South Korean chipmakers will a minimum of in part fill Micron’s hole. “It’ll be tough to watch what capability misplaced via Micron is in reality crammed via the Korean corporations, given the commodity-like nature of reminiscence chips.”

“The logistics of this technique may take time, however may offset any certain have an effect on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix might download from the ban on Micron inside of China in gentle of the arena’s reminiscence chip oversupply,” the analysts mentioned.

On the other hand, dangers may additional build up if the U.S. or China put into effect extra excessive rulings and bans, as it is going to have an effect on the price and availability of semiconductor supply-chain parts, they added.