Lucknow: The difficulties of opposition politics are expanding in Uttar Pradesh. Akhilesh Yadav is noticed surrounded in probably the most hassle at the moment. Within the 2022 UP elections, when all of the command was once held by means of Akhilesh. At the moment claims had been being made to shape the federal government. Whilst clarifying his technique, Akhilesh took all the ones small events alongside which had the facility to chop votes in some state of affairs or the opposite. Even after this, the SP controlled to win best part the seats to shape the federal government. When questions began to get up, Akhilesh made up his thoughts to go away the politics of Delhi and concentrate on UP. However, now the result of the Lok Sabha by-elections have develop into an issue for them.
The defeat within the Lok Sabha by-elections held in Azamgarh and Rampur has raised questions about the way forward for the Samajwadi Celebration. The cause of that is the continued camp inside the celebration. Simply sooner than the election, Akhilesh Yadav, with the want to scale back the camp, met senior celebration chief Azam Khan at Delhi’s Sir Ganga Ram Medical institution and attempted to present a message like doing the entirety proper. If you happen to take a look at the sooner motion, you’ll obviously see the greater motion inside the SP. Azam Khan was once giving outrageous messages from Sitapur Prison. Shivpal Yadav, who gained from Jaswantnagar seat on SP price ticket with him, was once noticed transferring in opposition to a brand new alliance with him. However, the results of the Lok Sabha by-election has come as a large problem for Akhilesh, who claims to have performed the entirety in his desire by means of bringing Kapil Sibal within the Rajya Sabha.
After the defeat in Rampur-Azamgarh, Akhilesh’s energy reduced within the Lok Sabha, the SP reached the bottom stage ever within the political adventure.
Issue has greater because of the slipping base
The most important problem sooner than Akhilesh Yadav is to save lots of the slipping mass. You are going to see that during Yadav and Muslim belt, Akhilesh Yadav isn’t ready to save lots of the root of Yadav-Muslim equation created by means of father Mulayam Singh Yadav. The reinforce base within the Yadav belt appears to be slipping. The department of votes within the Muslim belt is a reason of outrage for the celebration. If we take a look at Azamgarh as Yadav belt and Rampur as a area with Muslim mass base, then the image turns into transparent. In this sort of state of affairs, the problem is to deal with and maintain the bottom of the celebration in the summertime of 2024. The most important fear in that is to save lots of his alliance in entrance of Akhilesh.
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Why is the gap between the allies expanding?
The space between the allies of the Samajwadi Celebration has began expanding. After the Lok Sabha by-election, the remark of Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Celebration President Om Prakash Rajbhar has come to the fore, he’s going to extend the issues of Akhilesh. They’re noticed speaking about Akhilesh Yadav popping out of the AC rooms and going to the general public. He has mentioned that if you wish to win in 2024, you’ll have to get out of AC rooms. Azam Khan’s displeasure was once visual at the day of the election effects itself. Shivpal Yadav may be very offended. The good events have already left in combination. If Swami Prasad Maurya’s daughter does now not get price ticket from Badaun, then she may also get offended with SP. On the similar time, Dharmendra Yadav will now keep in Azamgarh, it does now not appear imaginable. In this sort of state of affairs, Akhilesh has a problem from protecting the alliance afloat to coping with the tussle inside the celebration.
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The place did Akhilesh cross mistaken?
Akhilesh Yadav’s mistake was once in figuring out the equations and making a technique accordingly. Akhilesh Yadav was once formulating his technique at the foundation of the 2019 election wind. However, right here they forgot that during 2019 they were given Azamgarh and Rampur seats because of the alliance of Bahujan Samaj Celebration. Within the 2014 elections, when SP and BSP had entered the electoral fray one after the other, the SP was once defeated within the combat of Rampur. SP Patron Mulayam Singh Yadav gained from Azamgarh with nice issue. In this sort of state of affairs, his technique didn’t have compatibility correctly to box applicants in each the seats and the celebration needed to face defeat.
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Approach to combat Dharmendra from Azamgarh failed
Akhilesh Yadav’s technique was once to arrange a circle of relatives member in Azamgarh. If SP insiders are to be believed, Dharmendra Yadav was once now not mentally in a position to land from Azamgarh. He sought after to paintings in Badaun itself. Right here the Swami Prasad Maurya issue was once noticed running. Swami Maurya desires to retain his daughter Sanghamitra Maurya within the Badaun Lok Sabha seat. At the present, Sanghamitra is an MP from the BJP. However, the way in which she has proven her perspective after leaving the BJP and becoming a member of the SP, it’s transparent that she will transfer facets within the Lok Sabha elections 2024.
Preserving those equations in thoughts, SP President Akhilesh Yadav made a technique to box Dharmendra Yadav from the secure seat of Azamgarh. This technique didn’t paintings. On the similar time, Azam Khan were given the seat of Rampur via his displeasure. Akhilesh did not take care of his guess correctly and that is the place the large mistake took place. Azam best noticed his personal passion and Akhilesh did not learn other people’s thoughts.
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So was once there a large breach within the Yadav vote financial institution?
After the election result of Azamgarh, a query is coming up whether or not there was a large breach in Yadav vote financial institution? If you happen to glance carefully on the election effects, you’ll now not see this taking place. Dinesh Lal Yadav Nirhua were given 35.1 p.c votes within the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Akhilesh Yadav gained by means of getting greater than 60 p.c votes. Nirhua may just now not even succeed in his 2019 efficiency within the 2022 Lok Sabha by-elections. He were given 34.39 p.c of the votes. However, the Samajwadi Celebration fell from 60 in line with cent to 33.44 in line with cent and the BSP were given 29.27 in line with cent votes. In this sort of state of affairs, you can’t declare that the SP suffered an enormous loss within the Yadav vote financial institution and the BJP was once the gainer. Sure, it’s unquestionably that the BJP has preserved its vote financial institution to a really perfect extent. The Muslim, Yadav and Dalit votes had been noticed going of their favour. A big a part of the Muslim vote financial institution went to the BSP. Dalits additionally joined Guddu Jamali. SP may just now not save the seat because of the break up in my equation.
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Were given the reinforce of Yadavs
The BJP would possibly not have were given the reinforce of a giant Yadav vote financial institution, however it’s got reinforce. The BJP appears to be a success in nurturing the younger Yadav vote financial institution via Nirhua. Through putting in Girish Yadav in Jaunpur, the BJP has in a similar fashion breached the Yadav vote financial institution. Now he’s a minister in Yogi executive. Girish, who comes from Yadav group, has damaged into the stronghold of Yadavs. On the similar time, Nirhua’s victory may also be thought to be crucial because of this, when Yadav was once getting ready the tactic of sturdy leaders like Durgashankar Yadav, Balram Yadav and Ramakant Yadav, Dharmendra Yadav, to domesticate the vote financial institution. Take into accout, this time Asim Arun’s victory in Kannauj meeting seat. The method that BJP had ready for this victory, the similar technique was once noticed running in Azamgarh as neatly.
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The massive problem is to prevent the department of Muslim votes.
Akhilesh Yadav blindly depended on Azam Khan on this election. He was once hopeful that once the defeat within the UP elections in 2022, the way in which the resentment of the minority group has grown towards him, he’ll be capable to take away it. Azam attempted arduous to stay the Muslim elegance with the SP by means of attending election conferences in Rampur in addition to Azamgarh. However, Azam was once now not ready to prevent the break up within the Muslim vote financial institution in his stronghold Rampur and Azamgarh. This was once the most important reason why for the defeat of the SP in each the seats. Now the cause of 2024 is in entrance. In this sort of state of affairs, BSP is taking a look glad after you have its core vote financial institution. The problem sooner than the SP is to stay its My equation alive.