New Delhi’s latest Economic Survey paints a resilient picture of India’s economy, projecting GDP growth between 6.8% and 7.2% for FY 2026-27. Presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in Parliament, the report underscores the strength of domestic factors even as global uncertainties loom large.
Despite geopolitical tensions and trade frictions worldwide, India’s internal economic engine remains robust. Inflation has hit historic lows, household and corporate balance sheets are healthier than ever, and government capital expenditure continues to fuel activity. Consumer demand holds firm, while private investment prospects brighten, providing a buffer against external shocks.
The survey cautions on upcoming CPI rebasing, which could alter inflation readings. Key trading partners’ sluggish growth and tariff barriers pose risks to exports and investor confidence, though ongoing US trade talks offer hope for resolution.
Medium-term growth potential now hovers near 7%, thanks to past reforms. Globally, weak outlooks persist with downside risks from AI productivity shortfalls and prolonged trade wars. Yet, easing inflation worldwide may prompt looser monetary policies, aiding growth. India’s balanced risk profile positions it well to navigate these choppy waters.