Maharashtra Lok Poll Survey: Bad news has come for BJP from Maharashtra. The pre-poll survey has predicted a crushing defeat for BJP and NDA in the state. At the same time, Uddhav Thackeray-led MVA is seen making a tremendous comeback in the survey. The Lok Poll survey shows that in Maharashtra, which has 288 seats, NDA can be limited to only 115 to 128 seats. At the same time, its vote share can be 38-41%. At the same time, the opposition alliance MVA can get 141-154 seats. While its vote share can be 41-44%. While others can get five to 18 seats and the vote share can be 15-18%.
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Let us tell you that Lok Poll, which conducts opinion polls and predictions related to elections, has conducted a fresh survey on Maharashtra. The results of the survey are very shocking. This survey is going to ring alarm bells for BJP and NDA. When Lok Poll tried to understand the results of the survey on Maharashtra zone-wise (total 6 zones), very interesting information came to light.
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First- Vidarbha Zone
Let us tell you that the Vidarbha zone of the state has the maximum 62 assembly seats. MVA is expected to have a one-sided lead in the Vidarbha zone. Out of the total 62 seats in the zone, MVA is expected to get 40-45. On the other hand, NDA is expected to get only 15-29 seats. If this happens in the election, it will be a shock for BJP and NDA. On the other hand, others are expected to get one to five seats. People in the Vidarbha zone are in favor of Congress. The integration of Scheduled Caste (SC) and Scheduled Tribe (ST) voters along with the rural crisis is an important factor there. The farmers there are very angry about the prices of soybean and cotton.
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Second- Khandesh Zone
Khandesh zone has 47 assembly seats in the state. NDA is expected to win 20-25 seats, MVA 20-25 and others zero-two seats. The ST belt of this region is supporting MVA but in the rest of the area, strong leadership and presence of Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) will help NDA.
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Third- Thane-Konkan Zone
There are 39 assembly seats in Thane-Konkan zone. BJP is likely to get a good lead in this zone. Out of the 39 seats in this zone, the survey shows that NDA is likely to get 25-30 seats. On the other hand, MVA may be limited to only five to 10 seats. Others may get one to three seats. Since the leadership of MVA is not strong in this area, due to which NDA has a stronghold in Konkan belt.
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Fourth- Mumbai Zone
There are 36 assembly seats in Mumbai zone. NDA is estimated to get only 10-15 seats here. MVA can get 20-25 seats in Mumbai zone. Others can get zero to one seat. The electoral narrative in this city has been rich versus poor. Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena has benefited from SC voters, while Congress will benefit from Muslim vote bank. Congress’s stature has increased here due to Nyay Yatra.
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Fifth- West Maharashtra Zone
There are a total of 58 assembly seats in the West Maharashtra zone. NDA may get 20-25 seats there, MVA 30-35 and others may get one to five seats. Sharad Pawar’s presence is seen in Baramati (Satara belt). Congress has already benefited in Kolhapur (Solapur belt).
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Sixth- Marathwada Zone
The last and sixth zone is Mahathwada. There are 46 assembly seats here. The survey has predicted that NDA will get 15-20 seats in this zone. MVA may get 25-30 seats. While others have been predicted to get zero to two seats. Marathas are currently considered to be in favor of MVA (due to caste factor), while Other Backward Class (OBC) voters are following the old voting pattern.
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